ancestors. On the contrary, Mr. Danvin's own supposition is, that the process of developing  two
entirely distinct Species out of a third is necessarily so gradual and protracted as to require a quasi
eternity for its completion, so that only a small portion of it could have been accomplished during the
limited period of man's existence upon the earth.
 
In the absence of any direct proof, then, it remains to be inquired if there are sufficient grounds of
probability,   reasoning   from   analogy   and   the   principles   of   inductive   logic,   for   believing   that   all
Species of animals and plants map have originated from three or four progenitors.  In speaking of
the amount and frequency of Individual  Variation, Mr. Darwin  and  his  followers  abuse the word
tendency. After heaping up as many isolated examples of it as they can gather, they assert the
legitimate inference from such cases to be, that the Species tends to vary, leaving out of view the
fact that a vastly larger number of individuals of the same Species do not vary, but conform to the
general type. And though only one out of a hundred of these Individual Variations is transmitted by
inheritance, yet, after collecting as many instances of such transmission as they can find, they affirm
that a Variation tends to become hereditable. But it is not so. Tendency is rightly inferred only from
the majority of cases; a small minority of favorable instances merely shows the tendency to be the
other way. Thus, the cars do not tend to run off the track, although one train out of a thousand may
be unlucky enough to do so; but the general law is, that they remain on the track. Otherwise, people
would   not  risk   their  lives in  them.... The   advocates  of  the   Development  Theory  violate   the  first
principles of inductive logic, by founding their induction not, as they should do, on the majority -- the
great   majority --  of   cases,   but   on  the   exceptions,   the   accidents.  Their   whole   proceeding   is   an
attempt   to   establish   a   philosophy   of   nature,   or   a   theory   of   creation,   on   anomalies,   --   on   rare
accidents, -- on lusus naturae.
 
This single objection is fatal to Mr. Darwin's theory, which depends on the accumulation, one upon
another, of many successive instances of departure from the primitive type. For if even Individual
Variation appears only in one case out of a hundred, -- and all naturalists will admit this proportion to
be as large as the facts will warrant, -- and if, out of the cases in which it does appear, not more
than one in a hundred is perpetuated by inheritance, then should a second Variation happen, what
chance has it of leaping upon the back of one of the former class:  The chance is one out of 100 X
100 X 100 = 1,000,000. And the chance of a third Variation being added to a second, which in turn
has been cumulated upon a first, will be one out of 100 raised to the fourth power, or 100,000,000. It
is  not  necessary  to  carry the  computation  any  further,  especially   as  Mr.  Darwin  states  that  the
process   of   development   can   be   carried   out   "only   by   the   preservation   and   accumulation   of
infinitesimally small inherited modifications." Of course, the interval between two Species so distinct
that they will, not interbreed  could be bridged over only by a vast number of modifications thus
minute; and on this calculation of the chances, the time required for the development of one of these
Species  out of the other would lack no characteristic of eternity except its name. But the theory
requires us to believe that this process has been repeated an indefinite number of times, so as to
account for the development of all the Species now in being, and of all which have become extinct,
out of four or five primeval forms. If the indications from analogy, on which the whole speculation is
based, are so faint that the work cannot have been completed except in an infinite lapse of years,
these indications   practically  amount  to  nothing.   The  evidence  which  needs to  be multiplied  by
infinity before it will produce conviction, is no evidence at all.
 
4. What is here called the "Struggle for Life" is only another name for the familiar fact, that every
Species of animal and vegetable life has its own Conditions of Existence, on which its continuance
and its relative numbers depend. Remove any one of these Conditions, and the whole Species must
perish; abridge any of them, and the number of individuals in the Species must be lessened.  The
intrusion of a new race  which is more prolific,  more powerful, more hardy, or in any way better
adapted to the locality, may gradually crowd out some of its predecessors, or restrict them within
comparatively narrow  bounds. Thus  the introduction  of  the Norway rat has banished  the former
familiar plague of our households and barns from many of its old haunts, and probably reduced the
whole   number   in   this  Species   to  a  mere   fraction   of  what  it  once   was.   Civilized   man   also   has
successfully  waged  war  against  many  ferocious   or  noxious  animals,   and  probably  exterminated